molikdev

Market data · Backtesting

I build the part of a trading system that tells you when the data is lying.

Ingestion, validation, order flow indicators, and the statistics that stop you fooling yourself. Futures and equities — CME through Databento, and whatever else the job needs.

Available for contract work

Recent findings

Found An INT64_MAX undefined-price sentinel silently contaminating weeks of order flow aggregations across several scripts.
Killed My own crypto strategy, after establishing that 0.09% taker fees exceeded the typical gross move in a 60–240s holding window.
Corrected Futures backtests for multiple comparisons, then flagged the remaining pseudo-replication and small-N problems rather than shipping the result.
Built A screener over ~22,000 US tickers on 1-minute bars, and a live multi-exchange order book dashboard across 10 venues.

Writing

Measurement · 26 Aug 2026

Nine exchanges, nine prices

56 minutes of BTC order books across nine venues. The clock hypothesis explains 3% of the dispersion — book imbalance agrees across venues 7% of the time.

Postmortem · 5 Aug 2026

The break-even win rate was 132%

A short-horizon crypto strategy that backtested fine, ended by three lines of arithmetic I should have run first.

Postmortem · 29 Jul 2026

The $9,223,372,036 trade that never happened

A sentinel value in DBN market data doesn't crash anything — and it hides better the more careful you were about outliers.

Next: normalising depth across venues that disagree on what a book snapshot is — fixed distance from mid instead of fixed level count.

What I work on

Most of my work sits upstream of the strategy, in the place where quiet errors turn into confident wrong answers.